NGN Offside is a blog by Northeastern Global News. Powered by data science and written by journalists, it follows the 2026 FIFA World Cup to bring you stories inspired by numbers. The analysis is brought to you by NetSI Sport, Northeastern’s Network Science research hub specializing in data and sport.

‘Fairytale game.’ The data shows how Cape Verde does it again.
Cape Verde turned in another thrilling performance on Sunday in a 2-2 draw with Uruguay, this time with a much different style of play than in their first game, according to the data.
In its previous game, against Spain, Cape Verde’s goalkeeper made seven saves in an historic performance, and Cape Verde only had three successful dribbles. But against Uruguay, they more than tripled the amount of successful dribbles (11) and were much more willing to push the tempo and carry the ball up the pitch.
Quick Highlights
How the data predicted sensational scoring by Brazilian star Vinícius Júnior
At the 31-minute mark of Brazil’s World Cup opening match Saturday against Morocco, forward Vinícius Júnior received a clever pass from his teammate just inside the scoring box. The Brazilian star made a series of quick, precise dribbles with his right foot. Outmaneuvering his defender, he moved into a prime scoring position and fired a blazing, angled shot past the goalie. The ball sailed into the far right corner of the net, tying the game at 1-1.
See the graphic below for the sequence of events that led to the goal.
Brennan Klein, a researcher in Northeastern University’s Network Science Institute, could only shake his head and smile when talking about this goal. Not only had he tabbed Júnior as one of a handful of players to watch in the tournament, but he’d also described Júnior’s propensity to score in this exact way in NGN Offside’s preview story about 12 players to watch at the World Cup.
“It was textbook what you expect him to do,” Klein told Northeastern Global News Monday morning.
Júnior — along with Argentina’s Lionel Messi and France’s Michael Olise — were the three players Klein keyed on as an “overall threat” to score and assist on goals. Specifically, these three players have a high “on-ball value,” a metric that quantifies whether and by how much a player’s action increases or decreases their team’s probability of scoring on a given possession.
Klein identified this same pattern of goal-scoring from looking at data from Júnior’s matches this past season playing for Real Madrid, when he scored 16 goals. Starting on the left wing, Júnior cuts in toward the middle of the box and shoots toward the far corner.
It was a spectacular goal, and one that also underscores the power of the data Klein and his team are digging into throughout the World Cup.
– Greg St. Martin
Updates will appear here when the event begins.

What the data tells us about Japan’s historic match against Tunisia
With its 4-0 win on Sunday against Tunisia, Japan became the first Asian Football Confederation team in all of World Cup history to score four points during a game, according to FIFA. The key to Japan’s historic victory was its 3-4-2-1 player formation, according to data analyzed by Northeastern experts.
This is a well-known strategy of arranging players on the pitch in which three defenders are placed in the back, four midfielders are placed in the center and wings, two attackers are placed just above them, and a lone center forward is placed at the very top.
Midfield wing backs Keito Nakamura and Ritsu Doan were key to making it work. Wingers operate on the left and right flanks of the pitch, and are essential to passing the ball to the team’s attacking line. Keito and Doan did just that this weekend, creating scoring opportunities for some of the team’s most valuable players.

World Cup hotel demand in Boston falls short of forecasts
It might just be the windfall that never materialized.
The influx of tourists and soccer fans spending money on hotels, airfare and other amenities to the 2026 FIFA World Cup was meant to be a boon to the hospitality industry. But with record high ticket prices, expensive airfare and lower demand for hotel rooms, the picture for industry leaders, at least in Boston, is perhaps more mixed than expected.
Evodio Kaltenecker, associate teaching professor in the D’Amore-McKim School of Business, isn’t surprised. He noted that across the business and hospitality sectors, the benefits of these international mega-sporting events are often overstated, adding that “the short-run results are often negative or mixed, and genuine long-term gains are mixed.”

8 numbers that tell the World Cup’s story over the first week
Across 16 cities and three countries, the world’s biggest sporting event is one week old. Here’s a look at some key numbers from the first round of group-stage matches that tell the World Cup story so far.
3.12 goals
The average goals scored per game is 3.12, up from 2.56 goals per game in the group-stage of round 1 from 2022. Northeastern University data researcher Brennan Klein posited that the increase in average goals per game could be attributed to an expanded field from 32 to 48 teams, now with more lower-ranked teams.
3 goals
Most goals scored by a single player in a game is three. Argentina’s star forward Lionel Messi scored a hat trick in the team’s opener against Algeria, tying Miroslav Klose’s record for most men’s World Cup goals at 16.

Here’s what data says about the top teams in the World Cup
The first week of the 2026 FIFA World Cup is officially in the books. How did the top five ranked teams perform?
Here’s what data from Northeastern University’s Network Science Institute tells us.
Spain
First match: tied with Cape Verde, 0-0
Next match: vs Saudi Arabia, Sunday, Jun 21, 12 p.m. EDT
The data suggests that Spain should have easily won its match up against Cape Verde on Monday. With its dense clusters of passes and dominance near the net, Spain was performing at full force. By contrast, Cape Verde had a far weaker showing and completed far fewer passes and direct shots.

Are hydration breaks leading to more attempted shots?
One week into the World Cup, the early data show that more shots are being taken immediately after the new hydration breaks.
Norway, Brazil, Scotland and Australia all scored goals shortly after the new water breaks.
In the Norway versus Iraq match, Norwegian striker Erling Haaland delivered his team’s opening goal shortly after the first three-minute pause that FIFA has mandated for this year’s World Cup, and his teammate Leo Østigård scored the third goal during the second half of play – just three minutes after players were allowed to rehydrate and catch their breath.
Players are attempting more shots in the 10 minutes following a hydration break than in the same period preceding the pause to refuel.

Data comes to life as researcher attends World Cup match
“Magical.”
That was the feeling that Brennan Klein, a Northeastern data researcher and lifelong soccer fan, says he felt when he could see his professional work with numbers and statistics come alive at a World Cup match on Tuesday.
“It was a dream. … I had a phenomenal time,” said Klein, who was one of more than 63,000 people at the Norway versus Iraq match at Boston Stadium in Foxborough, Massachusetts, on Tuesday.
Klein leads Northeastern’s NetSI Sport research team, which has been analyzing a host of soccer data from the tournament for Northeastern Global News’ blog, NGN Offside. One minute, Klein said he was marveling at Norway’s attack and defense patterns as a data researcher, noting, for example, Norway midfielder Martin Odegaard’s vision to find pockets of space on the pitch to counter Iraq’s defense.

Key takeaways from the data of host countries’ first World Cup games
The United States and Mexico opened the World Cup with victories, while the third host country, Canada, played to a draw.
Brennan Klein of Northeastern’s Network Science Institute said he was impressed by the Americans’ strategy and execution, and the data confirmed that conclusion.
“It was one of the best games I’ve ever seen a United States men’s team play, and there’s a lot of really interesting data to support that claim,” said Klein, who leads the NetSI Sport research team, which is analyzing a host of soccer data throughout the tournament for Northeastern Global News’ blog NGN Offside.
Mexico, meanwhile, played a strong game overall, but Klein said it was difficult to assess the performance because they faced a much lower-ranked South Africa team by FIFA, which was also forced to finish the game with only nine players after two were sent off for receiving red cards.

Denied! What the data says about the Cape Verde goalie’s many blocks
Spain should have defeated Cape Verde by an overwhelming margin, according to the data produced by Northeastern University’s NetSI Sport research group.
But Cape Verde goalkeeper Josimar Dias, known by his nickname Vozinha, made seven saves, six from within the box, denying one of the top-ranked teams in the tournament an early victory, according to Brennan Klein, director of Northeastern University’s NetSI Sport research group.
Klein said if you look at Spain’s passing map for the game, you would expect that Spain would have won by a wide margin. That’s because Spain dominated high in the pitch and executed more than a dozen key passes, which are passes that led to a shot on goal. The passing maps show clusters that illustrate Spain’s dominance in front of the net.

World Cup watch party brings Northeastern students together
From the corner of an otherwise silently studious Curry Student Center at Northeastern University, a chorus of “Ohhh!”s rang out.
Cape Verde’s goalkeeper Vozinha, whose full name is Josimar José Évora Dias, had saved yet another goal in the country’s FIFA World Cup debut against powerhouse Spain. And the nearly dozen football fanatics and casual observers who watched Monday’s match from Northeastern University’s Center for Intercultural Engagement couldn’t contain their excitement.
“He’s carrying that team!” said Lydia Lutake, a 20-year-old studying data science and design.
Ultimately, Cape Verde held off Spain’s seven shots on goal, ending the match 0-0.
Lutake follows the professional soccer team FC Barcelona, and several players also are part of Spain’s national football team. But she was supporting Cape Verde because her country, Tanzania, didn’t make the 2026 World Cup. She had planned to watch the match regardless, but decided to spend it with others at the center’s first of four World Cup watch parties.

Will World Cup water breaks have a big impact on team tactics?
Qatar’s matchup against Switzerland this weekend in Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara, California, is sure to be a hot one — in more ways than one.
The forecasted game-time temperature will be 89 degrees Fahrenheit, according to meteorologists.
To ensure player well-being, the 2026 FIFA World Cup has implemented mandatory hydration breaks in every match.
But this may not only refuel players, it could also influence game strategy, said Brennan Klein, director of the NetSI Sport research group, at Northeastern University.
“The question is, are there tactical shifts that happen after the hydration breaks, because if there are … you might get coaching during the breaks,” Klein said,noting that the fluid breaks could give coaches a chance to modify tactics according to the trajectory of the game.

Could the World Cup trigger the next pandemic? Scientists mapped the risks
The 2026 World Cup is bringing together teams and fans from 48 countries in North America. From travel logistics to the accommodations for hundreds of thousands of visitors, organizers are addressing a host of considerations. For public health officials, one of those factors is also the spread of disease.
Disease surveillance has taken on a whole new meaning in the post-pandemic world. The Ebola outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the Congo may be the event commanding the most attention, but other outbreaks — both domestic and international — are also of concern. COVID-19 is still lingering, global health officials are still monitoring the hantavirus outbreak that rocked a cruise ship last month and here in the U.S., the country is seeing the largest number of measles cases since the disease was considered eradicated in the U.S. in 2000. Meanwhile, more common viruses and bacteria continue to impact our daily lives.

The FIFA World Cup 2026 is here. Is Boston ready for it?
The FIFA World Cup 2026 kicks off in the Boston area this weekend and local officials say the region is prepared for crowds, traffic, severe weather and security threats based on its experience with the Boston Marathon, New England Patriots football games and other major events.
However, transportation challenges and other logistical hiccups are expected. And the anticipated boon for the hospitality industry has not yet materialized, according to experts.
The games begin Thursday in several cities across North America. For Boston, Saturday’s match between Haiti and Scotland will be the first of seven to take place at Boston Stadium, the temporary name for Gillette Stadium, which is situated in the suburban town of Foxborough about 25 miles southwest of Boston.

Here’s what the analyzed data says about the top World Cup teams
Soccer is like a dance, and every team competing in the FIFA World Cup 2026 will bring its own signature style and choreography to the pitch.
Team Spain employs a more direct style of play, prioritizing attackers Nico Williams and Lamine Yamal, for example. Team Portugal places a major focus on its midfielders such as Bernardo Silva.
And nowhere are these play styles revealed more clearly than in the work of Northeastern’s NetSI Sport research group, which maps, analyzes, and visually highlights teams’ passes, goals, interceptions and more to identify patterns and trends.
So what can the data tell us about how the countries ranked in the top five — France, Spain, Argentina, England and Portugal — might compete in this year’s World Cup?

12 players to watch in the FIFA World Cup 2026, according to the data
Who are the top players to watch in the FIFA World Cup 2026?
Northeastern University Network Science Institute researchers have analyzed an extensive, comprehensive dataset and compiled a list of key players.
Brennan Klein, assistant teaching professor of physics, leads a research team that pairs its study of complex networks with a passion for soccer.
The team’s secret weapon: the Hudl Statsbomb dataset, which logs over 3,400 events per match. Every pass, shot, dribble, tackle, pressure, ball carry and additional metadata — timestamped and pinpointed to the exact spot on the pitch where it happened. The dataset for the pre-World Cup analysis included more than 13,000 matches.

Researchers decode hidden patterns in World Cup data
Team Australia kicked it long from the goalkeeper. Switzerland took a slower approach and preferred short passes over long drives. Spain, on the other hand, tended to string the ball with sharp, sideways passes across the field.
Those are a few of the takeaways from passing-style graphics that Northeastern University’s Network Science Institute developed of the top soccer teams at the FIFA World Cup 2022 that showcased their most distinctive passing clusters.
Northeastern’s Network Science Institute’s NetSI Sport research group, which studies sports by analyzing comprehensive datasets and determining emergent patterns, plans to deliver more information and insights on players and teams competing in the FIFA World Cup 2026, which takes place June 11 to July 19.
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